Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) traded her reputation and principles away for the Brett Kavanaugh Supreme Court fight for an overall loss of 9 points in her approval rating. Morning Consult polled Maine and found that ” the political ground has shifted beneath her ahead of a potential 2020 re-election run.”
Forty-five percent of Mainers approve of her job performance post-Kavanaugh, a 9-point drop since Morning Consult last surveyed over the summer. She picked up a lot of Republicans: “68 percent approved and 25 percent disapproved—a net 43-point jump.” She could make that shift because Republicans disliked her before, displeased with her general bipartisany persona and her anti-Obamacare repeal vote.
She’s 32 points underwater with Democrats, having gone from a 39 percent disapproval to a miserable 63 percent bad rating. She’s not likely to be able to court many of them as she has in the past. She’s fared slightly better with independents, her disapproval rating jumping just 4 points from 31 to 35, but her approval dropping from 56 to 41 points. An awful lot more independents have decided they’re undecided about what they think of her.
The “Kavanaugh bump” for the Republican base was pretty short-lived, so we’ll see how long they still like Collins, given the hardest core of them have looked on her as a sellout for most of her career. She burned bridges with many of them long ago.
The bridges she just burned with Democrats, with Independents, and particularly with women, her staunchest supporters, aren’t going to be rebuilt. Every heinous decision out of the Supreme Court that Kavanaugh signs on to is going to rebound on her, forever. Between that and the $3.7 million war chest that the grassroots has raised to hand over to her 2020 Democratic challenger, she’s going to have a very uncomfortable two years. We’ll make sure of that.